Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.576923 4.929812 5.310555 5.754317 6.260461 6.823581 7.502881
2025-08-10 3.952072 4.421556 4.960987 5.635522 6.469567 7.485630 8.847919
2025-08-17 3.542006 4.057440 4.673782 5.481222 6.537151 7.912036 9.914709
2025-08-24 3.273159 3.817392 4.488520 5.400880 6.650355 8.372968 11.078249
2025-08-31 3.116066 3.693310 4.425372 5.455543 6.930423 9.083528 12.744447
2025-09-07 2.971717 3.569212 4.344782 5.468648 7.141277 9.712948 14.430274
2025-09-14 2.777855 3.364700 4.137922 5.280080 7.024564 9.804137 15.189029
2025-09-21 2.633035 3.215291 3.993635 5.165157 7.001307 10.035461 16.264019
2025-09-28 2.522147 3.104262 3.893482 5.103658 7.050369 10.390442 17.687275
2025-10-05 2.440686 3.028243 3.836460 5.099938 7.189085 10.922879 19.677068
2025-10-12 2.396313 3.000456 3.845364 5.196129 7.503531 11.837855 22.967670
2025-10-19 2.357652 2.977918 3.859308 5.299593 7.841227 12.867314 27.132172
2025-10-26 2.290023 2.912980 3.809750 5.301887 8.008082 13.603914 31.029158
2025-11-02 2.200286 2.812371 3.701381 5.199285 7.968883 13.883785 33.654983
2025-11-09 2.109325 2.706091 3.578809 5.063619 7.850832 13.958816 35.617870
2025-11-16 2.040373 2.629307 3.497728 4.992807 7.852002 14.323674 39.123002
2025-11-23 2.003691 2.598561 3.486248 5.041002 8.097119 15.362132 46.934411
2025-11-30 1.961315 2.557314 3.455707 5.052552 8.267381 16.253595 55.493049
2025-12-07 1.883358 2.459591 3.330801 4.886176 8.040275 15.982762 56.600210
2025-12-14 1.823426 2.387386 3.244142 4.784567 7.945049 16.081966 60.607457
2025-12-21 1.776812 2.333874 3.185328 4.730127 7.947697 16.475969 67.727402
2025-12-28 1.743136 2.299013 3.155262 4.726832 8.064574 17.258106 80.411257
2026-01-04 1.728564 2.292952 3.171889 4.811967 8.395091 18.849219 108.841580